TCPEP4 22:40:07.2617

NOTE: This is not to be used for life critical applications .  Please refer to official National Weather Service/NOAA websites and publications
----------900 PM MDT Wed Sep 19 2018
...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO WHERE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY...
 SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 110.5W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SSE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in northwestern Mexico and the southwestern United States monitor the progress of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E and its remnants.
 DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 110.5 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion should take the depression inland over northwestern Mexico overnight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to dissipate on Thursday.
The minimum central pressure of 1002 mb (29.59 inches) is based on nearby surface observations.
 HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican states of Sonora and northern Sinaloa, and 2 to 4 inches in Baja California Sur and western Chihuahua. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible in Sonora and northern Sinaloa. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
Moisture associated with the depression and eventually its remnants will also lead to areas of heavy rain and a heightened risk of flash flooding in the southwestern United States tonight and Thursday, and in the southern Plains beginning on Friday.
 NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
$$ Forecaster Cangialosi
---------- tags: weatherwire,weather,update