TCPEP4 10:34:04.9221

NOTE: This is not to be used for life critical applications .  Please refer to official National Weather Service/NOAA websites and publications
----------1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018
...DISORGANIZED CARLOTTA NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS...
 SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 101.3W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan De Galeana to Lazaro Cardenas
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
 DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was estimated to be near near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 101.3 West.  Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue into Monday.  On the forecast track, the small core of Carlotta should move inland within the warning area by early Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is likely to become a tropical depression later today, and to degenerate into a remnant low on Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero and Michoaca coasts, including the city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoaca, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely to spread westward along the warning area today.
SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
$$ Forecaster Pasch
---------- tags: weatherwire,weather,update