TCPEP3 07:51:33.1767

NOTE: This is not to be used for life critical applications .  Please refer to official National Weather Service/NOAA websites and publications
----------600 AM MDT Fri Jun 15 2018
...HEAVY RAINS FORECAST FOR THE STATE OF SONORA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...
 SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.9N 110.0W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NNE OF LA PAZ MEXICO ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM SW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Altata to Huatabampito Mexico
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
 DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bud was located near latitude 24.9 North, longitude 110.0 West. Bud is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next day or so with some increase in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Bud is expected to move over the Gulf of California today. The weakening cyclone is expected to move over mainland Mexico by the end of the day or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Bud is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today and dissipate on Saturday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) to the east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area later this morning.
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated totals of 6 inches across southern and eastern Sonora in northwestern Mexico through Saturday.  These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
An additional 1 to 2 inches of rain are possible in southern portions of Baja California Sur.
SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of the coast of western mainland Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.
$$ Forecaster Blake
---------- tags: weatherwire,weather,update